Monday, February 4, 2008

Looking ahead

The conventional wisdom is that the Democrats are fully energized this year and will turn out in massive numbers in November. The reasons are George Bush, "change", and a top crop of candidates.

But surely it is possible that some of the enthusiasm of Democratic voters, particularly the young (drawn to Obama) and women (drawn to Hillary), is for their particular candidate, as opposed to "any Democrat". In other words, unless the "dream ticket" emerges, a potentially critical portion of that enthusiam could trickle off or go (presumptively) to McCain.

No comments: